Adam has been overlooked time and time again since he began his career as a starter in 2007. He was in the top 3 in the NL in 07 and when healthy last year was just as good. Still no one outside of St Louis seemed to give him any credit at all.
Now he is 18-7 with a 2.59 ERA and on pace for over 200 k's. Lincecum still only has 13 wins!!! You cannot win the Cy with less than 15 wins, no matter the other stats. Cain only has 13 wins. Carp is the best pitcher right now, but has been out for almost a month this season. Carp has a Cy on his shelf (should've had 2 already), and Lincecum has a Cy on his much smaller shelf. If Wainwright finishes with 21 wins (very possible), Lincecum wins the rest of his starts and finishes with 17 (best case scenario), and Carp finishes with 19 (very possible), Wainwright should win Cy as long as his ERA stays around 2.50 or lower. If Carp had been healthy all season, this wouldn't be a question right now, but Wainwright has been there when Carp hasn't and is more valuable to the team looking at the future.
Waino needs to win this year to cement his status and finally get some respect that has been long overdue. Will it happen? Probably not. He has to finish out perfect....and he can! I can definitely say that I am hoping for it. It is sad that he has to be in this position, but he can overcome the odds and be the second Cy Young winner in the Cardinals' rotation. Good luck Adam, you will need it!
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